Strategic Vote Estimates in the 2013 Chilean Parliamentary Elections

  • Ricardo Andrés Troncoso Sepúlveda

Abstract

This paper estimates and assesses strategic voting behaviors in Chile, in the context of the 2013 parliamentary elections, using a sophisticated voting model to distinguish strategic and sincere voting through variables that capture the opportunity cost of voting for the first candidate, when this candidate has no chance of success. The results place strategic voting at 3.6 % and reflect that when making voting decisions, individuals consider the opportunity cost of a “lost” vote in terms of expected return.

Author Biography

Ricardo Andrés Troncoso Sepúlveda

Doctorando en Ciencias de la Agricultura, línea de Economía Agraria de la Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago de Chile, magíster en Economía de Recursos Naturales y del Medio Ambiente de la Universidad de Concepción, Chile y en Agronegocios de la Universidad del Bío-Bío, Chillán, Chile. Correo electrónico: rdtroncoso@uc.cl

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Author Biography

Ricardo Andrés Troncoso Sepúlveda

Doctorando en Ciencias de la Agricultura, línea de Economía Agraria de la Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago de Chile, magíster en Economía de Recursos Naturales y del Medio Ambiente de la Universidad de Concepción, Chile y en Agronegocios de la Universidad del Bío-Bío, Chillán, Chile. Correo electrónico: rdtroncoso@uc.cl

References

Abramson, P., Aldrich, J., Blais, A., Diamond, M., Diskin, A., Indridason, I., . . . Levine, R. (2010). Comparing Strategic Voting Under FPTP and PR. Comparative Political Studies, n° 43, 61-90.

Álvarez, R., & Nagler, J. (2000). A New Approach for Modelling Strategic Voting in Multiparty Elections. British Journal of Political Sciencie, 57-75.

Blais, A., & Nadeau, R. (1996). Measuring Strategic Voting: A Two-Step Procedure. Electoral Studies, n° 15, 39-52.

Blais, A., Nadeau, R., Gidengil, E., & Nevitte, N. (2001). Measuring strategic voting in multiparty plurality elections. Electoral Studies, n°20, 343-352.

Cain, B. (1978). Strategic Voting in Britain. American Journal of Political Science, 639-655.

Downs, A. (1957). An Economic Theory of Democracy . Nueva York: Harper and Row.

How to Cite
Troncoso Sepúlveda, R. A. (2018). Strategic Vote Estimates in the 2013 Chilean Parliamentary Elections. Revista Facultad De Ciencias Económicas, 27(1), 169–184. https://doi.org/10.18359/rfce.3509
Published
2018-12-31
Section
Artículos