Causality between imports and economic growth: empirical evidence for the Cauca department (Colombia)
Abstract
This paper investigates if the Cauca´s department economic growth determines the increase of its imports or if on the contrary it is the imports that have boosted the GDP in the period 1960-2013. To achieve this objective, an SVAR model is used with its previous cointegration analysis. A boost-response function is also implemented to reinforce the findings. The results suggest that the contemporary Cauca´s per capita GDP affects future imports and not vice versa, which implies for example that free trade agreements are not enough to boost these imports in the long term. This paper investigates if the economic growth in the department of Cauca determines the increase of its imports or if, on the contrary, it is the imports that have boosted the GDP in the period 1960-2013. To achieve this objective, an SVAR model is used with its previous cointegration analysis. A boost-response function is also implemented to reinforce the findings. The results suggest that the per capita GDP of the contemporary Cauca affects future imports and not vice versa, which implies, for example, that free trade agreements are not enough to boost these imports in the long term.Downloads
References
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